Backtest & Validation

Are We Using Backtests Incorrectly?

Short readBacktest & Validation

Question

Are we using backtests incorrectly?

Answer

Maybe the problem is not the backtest itself. Maybe the problem is how we interpret it. Many traders expect a backtest to predict future profits, but a backtest can only show how a trading system behaved on historical data.

Key Takeaway

Backtest did not lie. We were just asking it the wrong question.

Related Notes

If Backtests Cannot Predict The Future, Why Do We Use Them?What Is A Good EA?Can A Backtest Prove Future Profit?