Backtest & Validation

If Backtests Cannot Predict The Future, Why Do We Use Them?

Short readBacktest & Validation

Question

If backtests cannot predict the future, why do we use them?

Answer

Because understanding a system is different from predicting the future. A backtest helps us understand how a trading logic behaves under different market conditions.

Key Takeaway

Backtests are for understanding systems, not predicting markets.

Related Notes

Are We Using Backtests Incorrectly?What Is A Good EA?Can A Backtest Prove Future Profit?